Where will the Dems go if Obama looses?

Hi everybody, it's Chesswiz77 again. In this weeks blog, I'm taking aim at the potential Presidential loss of Barrack Obama and to a larger degree the Democratic Party. The question I seek is, where will the Democrats go if Obama looses?

Now a few months ago, the thought of Obama losing would be unthinkable. He was looked upon as The Agent of Change. And change was the only thing we could all agree was needed in Washington. If Obama was the agent of change, then McCain was labeled more of the same. Basically, McCain = Bush. Despite all this, the experts expected a close race. Close because McCain(who's not really Bush) is at heart a maverick. Someone who will go against anyone, no matter the party, to do the work of the people. B/c of that most figured the race would be close for most of the summer. But even then no one except the diehard Republicans figured McCain could win. How could he? With everything favoring the Democrats, there was no way he could win. Even as a geniune war hero, he just couldn't do that. Could he?

So it was expected from the left that once the conventions were over, Obama would start putting distance between himself and McCain. Of course we now know that didn't come to pass. And the reason it didn't is b/c of one woman .... Sarah Palin, the Governor of the great state of Alaska who McCain picked as his running-mate. With all the McCain = more of the same rhetoric going on, McCain sure went against what was expected. One could argue he brought a bit of change with his pick, unlike Obama who chose Biden. And with this somewhat controversial pick came two things, 1)an energized conservative base, and 2)unfair attacks, from the Obama campaign and his media pals, that were designed to destroy Palin. Since then McCain's numbers have steadily gone up while Obama's have steadily gone down. And now for the first time in this election we have seem McCain take the national lead in many polls. So naturally those who are supporting Obama must be getting nervous. And with good reason. In a year where the Republican brand is so badly damaged, Obama is doing worse than a Democrat should be doing. Which says a lot about Obama.

So with all that on the table, I can't help but wonder where the Democrats will go if Obama should happen to lose this election. An election, BTW, that is just eyeing for a Democrat to win. Well I think I know the answer to that. Instead of learning from their mistake, they'll look for the easy fix. The Democrats will suggest the reason they lost(if they do go on to lose) is b/c Obama wasn't experienced enough for the majority of the country, which is a correct observation. But not the real reason for his loss, which I'll get to in a bit. From there the Democrats will give the nomination to Hillary Clinton in 2012. Yes give.... as in a coronation, which Hillary had expected earlier in the year. The logic being that Hillary was the candidate who got a way, so to speak. That she was the one they should have nominated as opposed to Obama. And once they correct that, all will be right with the world. The Democrats will retake the White House. Right?

Only there's a slight problem with this quick fix. It ignores the real reason Obama would have lost the election. It would'nt be because he's too inexperienced, which he is, but b/c this is a center-right country. That's right a center-right country. Something the left can't fathom to any degree. B/C we're center-right, we are hesitant when it comes to socialist agendas and cut-and-run tactics. Both of which Obama is a proponent of. And now that he's trailing in the polls for the first time, we finally get to see the real Barrack Obama. He's not really a new politician but as he would say, the same old same old. He's more John Kerry, than John Kennedy. All that is why he'll lose the election. So if Obama loses b/c of his liberal views and b/c he represents the same old same old, then what possible chance does Hillary have? None. But just you wait. If Obama loses, don't expect a long primary from the Democrats in 2012. You can be sure Hillary will be the nominee.

Now if it were up to me I'd look to the '06 midterms as a blueprint to winning future elections. As you know the Democrats took back the House and the Senate from the Republicans. The entire election was billed as a referendum on Bush and the Iraq war. However, if you looked closer at each race you would have noticed that most of the races were within 5 pts. This tells me that it wasn't so much a referendum on Bush and the war but on the Republican Congress that didn't do anything. If it were really a referendum on Bush and the war, then Democrats would have won the races by 20-30 points easily. But even with it being a referendum on the Republican Congress do-nothingness the races for the most part were much closer than you'd thought possible. But again, we're a center-right country. And for a change the Democrats seemed to realize this, b/c they had several Moderate-Democratic candidates run for the House and Senate and won. In fact you could argue that had they been Liberal-Democrats instead they would have lost. Instead of a 1-5 pt victory it would have been a 1-5 pt defeat.

So having looked at that success, maybe the Democrats would be better off nominating a Moderate-Democrat in 2012 instead of Hillary Clinton. Until this nation becomes a center-left country(if that even happens) they'd be better off with that kind of candidate than the typical left-leaning liberal one.

Until Next Time,
Chesswiz77 is out.